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The common.predictions.kalshi_markets_candlesticks_hourly table provides hourly price candlestick data for Kalshi prediction markets. Each row represents one hour of market activity with open, high, low, close prices, trading volume, and end-of-hour open interest. Use this table for technical analysis, price trend visualization, volume analysis, and understanding intraday market dynamics.

Table Columns

Data Notes:
  • Combines settled and non-settled market candlesticks
  • Prices are on a 0-1 scale (e.g., 0.65 = $0.65)
  • Volume represents the number of contracts traded during the hour
  • Open interest is the end-of-hour snapshot of outstanding contracts
Unique Key: unique_key

Sample Queries

Track hourly price evolution for a specific market:

Understanding Candlestick Data

OHLCV Components

  • Open: First price at the start of the hour
  • High: Highest price during the hour
  • Low: Lowest price during the hour
  • Close: Last price at the end of the hour
  • Volume: Total contracts traded during the hour
  • Open Interest: Outstanding contracts at end of hour

Price Interpretation

Since prices are on a 0-1 scale:
  • price_close = 0.75 means the market believes there’s a 75% probability of the outcome
  • Price increase (close > open) indicates growing confidence in “yes”
  • Price decrease (close < open) indicates declining confidence in “yes”

Volume vs Open Interest

  • Volume: Contracts traded during a period (stock analogy: daily trading volume or daily notional volume)
  • Open Interest: Total outstanding contracts (stock analogy: shares outstanding)
  • High volume with flat open interest → lots of trading between participants
  • High open interest indicates significant market participation
  • Low open interest suggests limited liquidity or interest